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Thread: Cyclone Ita on the Far north tropical coast

  1. #16

    Re: Cyclone Ita on the Far north tropical coast

    Quote Originally Posted by tunaticer View Post
    Category 5 now fellas the game plan has changed dramatically.
    Yep feeling ominous.

    cairns has been crazy all day preparing and no doubt will go up a gear tomorrow. I think even though we are not in the direct path here we are in for a serious blow. The eyer is so defined now belying its true strength, just hope everyone takes all warnings deadly seriously
    "let not he boast who puts his armor on, as he who takes it off"

  2. #17

    Re: Cyclone Ita on the Far north tropical coast

    http://www.goes.noaa.gov/sohemi/sohe...l-removed.html

    1. That is what nastiness looks like and the impact is going to go a long way further south than Cairns, Townville or even Mackay for that matter.

    2 Watch this space.
    Last edited by SatNav; 18-04-2014 at 08:16 AM. Reason: Live link Removed

  3. #18

    Re: Cyclone Ita on the Far north tropical coast

    We will cop the southern part of it too which is worse, hold onto your hats ppl and good luck.

  4. #19

    Re: Cyclone Ita on the Far north tropical coast

    1. Got to give top marks to JTWC's prediction on this one so far, they had it pretty much on track a long way out and way in front of BOM.

  5. #20

    Re: Cyclone Ita on the Far north tropical coast

    Hats off to the BOM(and the other mob), predicted path looks very accurate(as opposed to mine LOL).
    Looks like it's going to be very destructive, good luck, remember property can be replaced, go somewhere safe early.

  6. #21

    Re: Cyclone Ita on the Far north tropical coast

    Fingers crossed we are all safe. Looks nasty up north.

  7. #22

    Re: Cyclone Ita on the Far north tropical coast

    1: Good luck to everyone up north.
    2: Hope it is not as bad as it looks.
    3: What's up with these numbers????
    fruit salad is the new Bacon

  8. #23

    Re: Cyclone Ita on the Far north tropical coast

    The way the models are showing, Cairns will get rain and enough wind to blow the clothes off the line.

  9. #24

    Re: Cyclone Ita on the Far north tropical coast

    Yep at 9.40 its not raining or blowing but im sure we will get some yet
    QUOTE=Dogtoooth;1544321]The way the models are showing, Cairns will get rain and enough wind to blow the clothes off the line.[/QUOTE]
    "let not he boast who puts his armor on, as he who takes it off"

  10. #25

    Re: Cyclone Ita on the Far north tropical coast

    Looks like a cat 2 here in Mareeba, then weakening to a 1. Lot of old houses up here so see how we go. A lot of nailed on roofs, so hopefully too many don't come off.

    My thoughts go out to the Cooktown folks who would be starting to cop a pasting about now. Also the Hopevale cyclone shelter is housing 1000 people, copping a high cat4 and the shelter is only rated to cat3, don't know who ever signed that off! Hope they have a safe night.

    to give folks an idea of the categories and wind strengths: http://www.bom.gov.au/cyclone/about/intensity.shtml

  11. #26

    Re: Cyclone Ita on the Far north tropical coast

    Spewing the Cape Flattery AWS has stopped transmitting. It appeared to have missed the eye.

  12. #27

    Re: Cyclone Ita on the Far north tropical coast

    Recorded 95 mm overnight here at Kewarra Bch area
    will we get strong winds today as it moves south? And what about Mareeba area? Will they get buffeted?
    "let not he boast who puts his armor on, as he who takes it off"

  13. #28

    Re: Cyclone Ita on the Far north tropical coast

    Quote Originally Posted by odes20 View Post
    Recorded 95 mm overnight here at Kewarra Bch area
    will we get strong winds today as it moves south? And what about Mareeba area? Will they get buffeted?
    Looks like we'll get a cat1 in Mareeba Odes at about 6pm, we're getting some good gusts since this morning and a lot of rain (for Mareeba). Lot of runoff so far as the ground isn't used to copping so much rain. TV has been down since this morning but we've still got power which is nice.

  14. #29

    Re: Cyclone Ita on the Far north tropical coast

    1. Next 24-36 hours are going to be interesting to say the least considering this sytem will maintain cyclone category into Monday while it tracks just off the coast?

    2. There does not appear to have been any lessons learnt from previous events with critical BOM infrastructure in critical situations being shut down by generally third parties. Cape Flattery AWS is probably all intact as the wind being recorded at the time (4-50 gusting 85 knots) should not be enough to affect the station, if this was the case then someone needs to look into the lack of BOM engineering standards. The over reliance on power and especially powered communication systems is probably something that needs some looking into?

    3. The media beatup is also put on notice (again) if anybody has evidence of 250+ km/hour (275 km/h) then the world needs to see it. Max wind gust recorded in Cooktown was only 115km/h and apart from Cape Flattery there's nothing else over 80km/h, which is typical strong wind warning stuff, weekend type weather.

  15. #30

    Re: Cyclone Ita on the Far north tropical coast

    Yep youve gotta ask how come the massive variation on the wind speeds ????
    Seeing its now cutting to the Sth East it will be back over water in the morning, which is a bit scary. Bom saying it will track down coast at Cat 1 but jeepers if it goes a bit east what could happen? Maybe just dart away and die out at sea.
    Quote Originally Posted by SatNav View Post
    1. Next 24-36 hours are going to be interesting to say the least considering this sytem will maintain cyclone category into Monday while it tracks just off the coast?

    2. There does not appear to have been any lessons learnt from previous events with critical BOM infrastructure in critical situations being shut down by generally third parties. Cape Flattery AWS is probably all intact as the wind being recorded at the time (4-50 gusting 85 knots) should not be enough to affect the station, if this was the case then someone needs to look into the lack of BOM engineering standards. The over reliance on power and especially powered communication systems is probably something that needs some looking into?

    3. The media beatup is also put on notice (again) if anybody has evidence of 250+ km/hour (275 km/h) then the world needs to see it. Max wind gust recorded in Cooktown was only 115km/h and apart from Cape Flattery there's nothing else over 80km/h, which is typical strong wind warning stuff, weekend type weather.
    "let not he boast who puts his armor on, as he who takes it off"

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